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FAS 123R, issued by the Financial Accounting
Standards Board (FASB), and SAB 107, issued by the SEC, govern
how employee stock options and employee restricted stock are valued
for financial-reporting purposes.
Employee stock options are sometimes
exercised early. This feature is considered when determining an
appropriate discount. For long-term options, volatility also affects
the level of discounting. To determine the level of volatility,
the analyst reviews the history of the company's stock and other
features relating to volatility, such as the size of the company
and the industry.
Either the Black-Scholes-Merton formula
or lattice models may be used. Although the current version of
FAS 123R does not include a preference for any specific valuation
method, an earlier release explicitly favored lattice models,
which are more flexible and are better at modeling actual employee
behavior. However, we expect the Black-Scholes-Merton model to
continue to be in widespread use because of its simplicity.
Because different groups of employees
can be expected to behave differently with respect to their stock
options, FAS 123R recommends valuing the options of certain groups
differently from other groups. Based on a company's history, such
judgments can often be made based on termination behavior and
early exercise behavior.
Volatility
For
most public companies, historical trading-price volatility is
the starting point for the volatility estimate. However, companies
must carefully consider whether or not the future might be different
from the past. Also, private companies and others with limited
trading histories can look to industry indices or public companies
with longer trading histories for volatility estimates.
Risk-Free Interest Rate(s)
When
using lattice models, the term structure of interest rates should
be modeled directly from the yield curve for zero-coupon bonds.
When using the Black-Scholes-Merton model, zero-coupon bonds with
a term equal to the expected remaining term of the option should
be used.
Expected Term
Generally,
because of the illiquidity of employee stock options, employees
have an incentive to exercise them early. The question is how
early and under what circumstances. The lattice models and the
closed-form models (such as Black-Scholes-Merton) treat the expected
time to exercise very differently. The closed-form models assume
an average expected term. The mid-point between the vesting period
and the maximum term may sometimes be used for companies with
limited histories. The lattice models, on the other hand, predict
employee behavior based on how the stock price changes during
the term, with greater probability of early exercise the higher
the stock price rises. Lattice models can also model employee
behavior based on any other factor deemed meaningful.
For more information on our valuations
for FAS 123R compliance, contact
Pluris today.
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